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Predictions for 2010

By staff / January 2010

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  • Mon, 08 Mar 2010
    Post by Claudia Escribano

    Based on what Ive seen in various blogs and publications, I predict that we will see greater integration of social media into blended learning and e-learning products. Also, this adoption of technology will continue the move away from event-based learning toward more just-in-time learning. Learning professionals need to broaden their skill set to include an understanding of all the new technologies and how they can be used to help people perform more effectively.

  • Wed, 10 Feb 2010
    Post by Mari Cruz Garcia

    I haven't read in any of the predictions that IT infrastructures will improve, in particular in rural areas. This is one of the great problems we encounter those who want to promote elearning and learning technologies in non-urban areas. I am not talking about South America, by the way, but in Europe, in particular Scotland and England, where I live.

    Before the so called "liberalization" process, telecommunications infrastructures were considered public utilities, like water or electricity in Europe. There was the "Universal Service Obligation", a legal provision through which the historical telecom operator in the country was committed to bring the telecom services- that is, "wiring- to the whole country. After the liberalization of telecommunications in the UK in the 80s, and in Europe, in the 90s, it is left to the market forces to fulfill that universal service obligation. No commercial operator wants to upgrade the IT infrastructures of rural areas -upgrading to ADSL-II-, as this is not profitable.

    We need a social legislation in Europe that guarantee the provision of broadband internet in rural areas. Otherwise, we will have fractured societies, divided in "have's" and "have's not", those who will have effective access to elearning and technology and those who don't. This is against the principles of Europe, cradle of Democracy: Liberté, égalité, fraternité.

  • Thu, 21 Jan 2010
    Post by Sue Landay

    I see the lines dividing classroom trainers from e-trainers continuing to fade. E-learning tools, which have been so accessible in large companies with substantial IT departments, will be more available to face-to-face trainers who use online experiences to enhance and reinforce live classroom time.

  • Wed, 20 Jan 2010

    Dr. Schank - I have followed you and your career for years and I have immensely benefited from your body of knowledge. I am curious, however, about your bye, bye phone prediction for 2010. While I agree in someways (yet not in others) that a full blown training program may not best be delivered via mobile features or applications, I strongly feel that mobile devices hold incredible promise for learning and will only increase in the future. The traditional training paradigm of larger/longer scale design for learning has been engaged in a renaissance for sometime - in saying this I am thinking of re-useable learning objects, simulations, storytelling, game theory, virtual worlds, etc - major premises that can enable a strong mobile learning platform, paradigm, and adaptation.

    One of the greatest benefits I see of mobile devices (and I hope there will be many) is the push of learning information as needed or the pull of information as wanted - not to mention the simultaneous usage of features on today's equipment (think AT&T and Apple's ability to talk and use apps at the same time). The connectedness to corporate systems/innovative design approaches and the creative implications of the larger learning outcome(s) to a mobile event is what will make this either a smooth learning experience or a disastrous one. I'm a bit more optimistic.

    I can't help but also think about how opinion was similar about CBT/WBT to what now is "eLearning"- once upon a time.


  • Mon, 18 Jan 2010
    Post by Ran Hinrichs

    Avatars live in borderless communities and sovereignty is being challenged today because of virtual worlds. What are the rights and responsibilities of the avatar? Who decides the roles and privileges? How will avatars continue to maintain their freedoms across virtual entities? In 2010, we will see the emergence of a political body in virtual space that will work virtually, govern virtually, collaborate virtually and do so in spaces that are designed by the people and for the people. Virtual worlds will create countries without borders, in which the culture and laws find governance in a third place.

  • Tue, 12 Jan 2010
    Post by Thomsa hoyle

    I'm a big believer in "Users Trump Designers" and "New Mode for Learning". social networks + mobile access + generation shift create the perfect opportunity for customized learning, driven by the user. It seems the differentiator won't be expertise anymore, but will be delivery method and the ability for content to fit the method.

  • Mon, 11 Jan 2010
    Post by Chis van der Craats

    "a banner year for synchronous media and desktop conferencing generally." Stephen you said that last year and I am sure it will come about - even if you have to say it again next year. The technology is swift and people are often enough connected now.But is it an ideal?

  • Sun, 10 Jan 2010
    Post by Mark Smithers

    We will see the rise of open, cloud based LMS/VLEs that will allow students and teachers to crowd-source, crowd-curate, crowd-contextualise and filter appropriate open education resources. I hope this will mean big improvements in the level of reuse of oer content and a reduction in wheel reinventing.

  • Sat, 09 Jan 2010
    Post by Peter Shea

    The crisis in student retention will force more schools to experiment with electronic learning tools in order to connect with the millennial generation's interactive learning styles.

  • Fri, 08 Jan 2010
    Post by Lee G.

    How can you say its going to go away from the phone, especially with the iPhone and Android-based phones that allow for simulations and interactivity that couldn't be done before?

    Maybe it is just my age group (under 30), but I find that I'm constant using my iPhone for on-demand learning, whether it be to Google something, access a video tutorial (like, get my RSS feeds, etc...

    I think mLearning is just in its infancy and we will continue to see it grow.

    Just my $0.02. Cheers!

  • Tue, 30 Dec 2008
    Post by Kim

    Ed I agree with you. I watched many professional people inflict fear and violence during that error in the Civil Rights Movement WHO HAS NEVER been held accountable for their actions and had held public positions. The 60s was a very radical and emotional time. He has proven himself since then to be an outstanding educator Let him speak, you don''t want to hear what he has to say move on.

  • Wed, 29 Oct 2008
    Post by Ed Duffy

    Unfortunately, I think fear will stop people from doing anything in this "free" country of ours today whether it''s put money in the stock market, give a speaking engagement, or vote for a black man for president. It''s too bad we can''t actually have a "free" debate of ideas without people being labeled a terrorist, unAmerican, and so on. Bill Ayers was a 60s radical right or wrong, but he never killed anybody or was ever convicted of being a terrorist. It''s time for a change. Are we going to start burning books next?

  • Tue, 28 Oct 2008
    Post by Bruce

    The face of terrorism is multi-faceted. To dissent is one thing. To advocate murder is quite another. NO NO NO! Would Ms. Gualtieri also advocate a discussion of comic therapy given by John Wayne Gacy? Or political volunteer work by Ted Bundy? The "curiosity" benefit is akin to demented carnival sideshow.